ЭКОНОМЕТРИЧЕСКИЙ АНАЛИЗ ЗАГРЯЗНЕНИЯ ВОЗДУХА В УЗБЕКИСТАНЕ

Аннотация

Загрязнение окружающей среды и экономика были тесно взаимосвязаны на протяжении всей истории человечества. Понимание взаимосвязи между деградацией окружающей среды и экономическим развитием является неполным из-за дисциплинарных предрассудков. Целью данного исследования является понимание динамической взаимосвязи между загрязнением воздуха и экономикой Узбекистана. Кроме того, он стремится изучить наличие экологической кривой Кузнеца (ЭКК) для определения наиболее эффективных вариантов политики по сокращению выбросов при сохранении экономического роста. В этом исследовании для достижения своих целей использовались тест коинтеграции Байера-Ханка и тесты причинности Грейнджера. Наличие коинтеграции Байера-Ханка предполагает прочную связь между загрязнением воздуха и экономическим ростом. Кроме того, тест причинности Грейнджера показывает, что существует причинная связь между экономическим ростом и тремя загрязнителями воздуха с уровнем значимости 0,05. Это исследование направлено на устранение пробела в современной литературе путем изучения взаимосвязи между загрязнителями воздуха и экономическим ростом. В нем предпринята попытка исследовать гипотезу EKC и влияние загрязнения воздуха на экономический рост, особенно в Узбекистане.

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Аннотация

Загрязнение окружающей среды и экономика были тесно взаимосвязаны на протяжении всей истории человечества. Понимание взаимосвязи между деградацией окружающей среды и экономическим развитием является неполным из-за дисциплинарных предрассудков. Целью данного исследования является понимание динамической взаимосвязи между загрязнением воздуха и экономикой Узбекистана. Кроме того, он стремится изучить наличие экологической кривой Кузнеца (ЭКК) для определения наиболее эффективных вариантов политики по сокращению выбросов при сохранении экономического роста. В этом исследовании для достижения своих целей использовались тест коинтеграции Байера-Ханка и тесты причинности Грейнджера. Наличие коинтеграции Байера-Ханка предполагает прочную связь между загрязнением воздуха и экономическим ростом. Кроме того, тест причинности Грейнджера показывает, что существует причинная связь между экономическим ростом и тремя загрязнителями воздуха с уровнем значимости 0,05. Это исследование направлено на устранение пробела в современной литературе путем изучения взаимосвязи между загрязнителями воздуха и экономическим ростом. В нем предпринята попытка исследовать гипотезу EKC и влияние загрязнения воздуха на экономический рост, особенно в Узбекистане.


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AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF AIR CONTAMINATION IN UZBEKISTAN

Khalimjonov Nurbek

Tashkent State University of Economics

ORCID: 0009-0005-0180-9447

nurbekkhalimjonov070797@gmail.com

Abstract.

Pollution and the economy have been closely interconnected throughout the

entirety of human history. The understanding of the relationship between environmental

degradation and economic development is incomplete as a result of disciplinary prejudices. The
aim of this research is to comprehend the dynamic correlation between air pollution and the

economy of Uzbekistan. Additionally, it seeks to examine the presence of the Environmental
Kuznets Curve (EKC) to identify the most effective policy options for reducing emissions while

sustaining economic growth. This study utilized the Bayer-Hanck Cointegration test and Granger

Causality tests to accomplish its objectives. The presence of Bayer-Hanck cointegration suggests a
durable connection between air pollution and economic growth. Furthermore, the Granger

causality test demonstrates that there is a causal relationship between economic growth and the
three air pollutants, with a significance level of 0.05. This study seeks to address a gap in the

current literature by examining the relationship between air pollutants and economic growth. It
attempts to investigate the EKC hypothesis and the effects of air pollution on economic growth

specifically in Uzbekistan.

Keywords:

Bayer-Hanck, Carbon emissions, Economic growth, EKC.

O’ZBEKISTONDA HAVO IFLOSLANISHINIG EKONOMETRIK TAHLILI

Xalimjonov Nurbek

Toshkent davlat iqtisodiyot universiteti

Annotatsiya.

Atrof muhitning ifloslanishi va iqtisodiyot butun insoniyat tarixi davomida

bir-biri bilan chambarchas bog'langan. Ushbu tadqiqotning maqsadi havoning ifloslanishi va
O'zbekiston iqtisodiyoti o'rtasidagi dinamik bog'liqlikni aniqlashdir. Bundan tashqari, u iqtisodiy

o'sishni ta'minlashda emissiyalarni kamaytirish uchun eng samarali siyosat variantlarini

aniqlash uchun Atrof-muhit Kuznets egri chizig'ining (EKC) mavjudligini o'rganishga intiladi.
Ushbu tadqiqot o'z maqsadlariga erishish uchun Bayer-Hanck Cointegration testi va Granger

Causality testlaridan foydalanadi. Bayer-Hanck kointegratsiyasining mavjudligi havoning
ifloslanishi va iqtisodiy o'sish o'rtasidagi mustahkam bog'liqlikni ko'rsatadi. Bundan tashqari,

Granjer sabab-oqibatlilik testi iqtisodiy o'sish va havoni ifloslantiruvchi uchta omil o'rtasida
sababiy bog'liqlik mavjudligini ko'rsatadi, muhimlik darajasi 0,05. Ushbu tadqiqot havoni

ifloslantiruvchi moddalar va iqtisodiy o'sish o'rtasidagi munosabatlarni o'rganish orqali joriy
adabiyotdagi bo'shliqni bartaraf etishga intiladi. U EKC gipotezasini va havo ifloslanishining

O'zbekistonning iqtisodiy o'sishiga ta'sirini o'rganishga harakat qiladi.

Kalit so’zlar:

Bayer-Hanck, Karbonad angidrid emissiyasi, Iqtisodiy o'sish, EKC.

UO‘K: 338.242

V SON - MAY, 2024

133-142


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ЭКОНОМЕТРИЧЕСКИЙ АНАЛИЗ ЗАГРЯЗНЕНИЯ ВОЗДУХА В УЗБЕКИСТАНЕ

Халимжонов Нурбек

Ташкентский государственный экономический университет

Аннотация.

Загрязнение окружающей среды и экономика были тесно

взаимосвязаны на протяжении всей истории человечества. Понимание взаимосвязи
между деградацией окружающей среды и экономическим развитием является неполным

из-за дисциплинарных предрассудков. Целью данного исследования является понимание
динамической взаимосвязи между загрязнением воздуха и экономикой Узбекистана.

Кроме того, он стремится изучить наличие экологической кривой Кузнеца (ЭКК) для
определения наиболее эффективных вариантов политики по сокращению выбросов при

сохранении экономического роста. В этом исследовании для достижения своих целей
использовались тест коинтеграции Байера-Ханка и тесты причинности Грейнджера.

Наличие коинтеграции Байера-Ханка предполагает прочную связь между загрязнением
воздуха и экономическим ростом. Кроме того, тест причинности Грейнджера

показывает, что существует причинная связь между экономическим ростом и тремя
загрязнителями воздуха с уровнем значимости 0,05. Это исследование направлено на

устранение пробела в современной литературе путем изучения взаимосвязи между

загрязнителями воздуха и экономическим ростом. В нем предпринята попытка
исследовать гипотезу EKC и влияние загрязнения воздуха на экономический рост,

особенно в Узбекистане.

Ключевые слова:

Bayer-Hanck, выбросы углерода, экономический рост, EKC.

Introduction.

Air pollution encompasses a diverse array of contaminants that are generated by one or

more sources. According to a survey conducted by the European Commission, almost 82% of

Europeans are subjected to air pollution (Gehrsitz, 2017). Poor air quality is a significant
environmental issue that affects individuals owing to the presence of air pollutants such ozone,

nitrogen dioxide, and carbon dioxide (Collivignarelli et al., 2020). Urban regions experience
higher levels of air pollution as a result of elevated traffic and population density (Amin et al.,

2020).

The correlation between pollution and economic growth has garnered significant scrutiny

in the realms of both scientific research and social sciences (Qiu et al., 2019). The
Environmental Kuznets curve (Ozokcu and Ozdemir, 2017) has made it difficult to see some of

the less apparent links between economic growth and environmental impacts.
The ecological system's carrying capacity is a crucial issue that must be considered.

Furthermore, a significant portion of research is conducted inside limited contexts, which

prevents us from evaluating an integrated framework. In less developed nations, where
pollution levels are rapidly increasing, there are sometimes contradictory accounts regarding

economic advancement and human development. Air pollution can have negative effects on
trees and agricultural yields in multiple ways (Rupakheti, 2015). Ground-level ozone is likely

to cause a decline in agricultural and forest yields, hinder tree growth, and make plants more
susceptible to diseases, pests, and other challenges (Jebli et al., 2016).

Due to the limited availability of empirical data in Uzbekistan, the objective of this study

is to assess the relationship between air pollution and economic growth in Uzbekistan, both in

the short and long term, using the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. This work
is expected to make a significant contribution towards the development of environmentally-

friendly economic policies for future environmental policy design. If stricter regulations are not
implemented, the levels of air pollution emissions and concentrations are projected to increase

fast, which will pose a significant risk to both human health and the environment. Air pollution


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is anticipated to have detrimental health consequences, leading to substantial economic
expenses. These expenses are likely to manifest as considerable yearly global welfare costs at

both the regional and sectoral levels (Jalil and Feridun, 2011).

Literature review.

Kuznets (1955) proposed the theory that there is a curvilinear relationship between

income inequality and economic development, characterized by an inverted U shape. The
concept was rearticulated in the 1990s as the Environmental Kuznets Curve, which establishes

a correlation between economic growth/income and environmental conditions (EKC). During
the initial phases of growth, there is a positive correlation between GDP per capita and CO

2

emissions per capita. Following the tipping point, there is a gradual reduction in CO

2

emissions

per person as a certain income threshold is reached. This is because countries and individuals

become more sensitive to environmental concerns, leading to a decrease in environmental
degradation through the implementation of preventive measures. Figure 1 illustrates a clear

relationship between income and environmental deterioration, which follows an inverted U-
shaped pattern. In their 1991 publication, Grossman and Krueger presented an essay that

aimed to prove a correlation between air quality and economic growth, thus popularizing the
Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) theory. Early empirical research of the Environmental

Kuznets Curve (EKC) have focused on two variables: CO

2

emissions and GDP per capita. These

two variables, CO

2

emissions and GDP per capita, have been used in these investigations.

Figure 1. Environmental Kuznets curve

Several previous research have investigated the correlation between CO2 emissions and

economic growth in relation to environmental degradation. The study examined the long-term
relationship between air pollution and economic growth by analyzing the idea known as the

environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC). The EKC theory was founded on the concept of an
Inverted-U relationship between the level of carbon emissions and the level of income within a

specific country. Grossman and Krueger (1995) were the pioneering researchers who
examined the correlation between per capita income and environmental conditions. They were

the first to propose the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis as a means to explore
this relationship. Nevertheless, their empirical analysis encountered issues in relation to the

EKC hypothesis as it yielded divergent outcomes. The EKC theory has received support from
several investigations, each yielding distinct conclusions. Several scholars have presented

reasons in favor of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis, as shown by Rauf et al.
(2018), Pata (2018), Cosmas et al. (2019), Rana and Sharma (2019), Bekun et al. (2020), and

Wasti and Zaidi (2020). However, several research challenge the Environmental Kuznets Curve

(EKC) theory, as evidenced by the works of Sarkodie (2018), Koc and Bulus (2020), Dogan and
Inglesi-Lotz (2020), and Leal and Marques (2020).


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Gökmenoğlu and Taspinar (2016) conducted a study in Turkey to examine the correlation

among foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth, energy consumption, and CO

2

emissions from 1974 to 2010. The researchers employed the Toda Yamamoto causality
technique and their results revealed a reciprocal causation between CO

2

emissions and FDI

inflows, as well as between CO

2

emissions and energy. Moreover, a unidirectional relationship

was found between FDI inflows and real growth, as well as between energy use and real growth.

In their study, Saboori and Sulaiman (2013) conducted an analysis of the cointegration

and causative link between energy consumption, CO

2

emissions, and economic growth for each

individual ASEAN member country. The researchers found that the economies of all five nations
showed cointegration between economic growth, CO

2

emissions, and energy consumption.

They also observed a positive correlation between CO

2

emissions and energy consumption in

both the short and long run. The correlation between CO

2

emissions decrease and economic

growth was observed exclusively in Singapore and Thailand, while the opposite trend was
observed in Indonesia and the Philippines.

Hanif (2018) employed a generalized linear model (GMM) to assess the correlations

among economic growth, fossil fuel consumption, renewable energy usage, CO

2

emissions,

urban expansion, and solid fuel consumption in the economies of Sub-Saharan Africa. The study
encompassed the years 1995 to 2015. The study revealed that the utilization of fossil and solid

fuels had a beneficial effect on CO

2

emissions, whereas the utilization of renewable energy had

an adverse impact on CO

2

emissions.

Heidari et al. (2015) investigated the relationship between EC (environmental

degradation), CO

2

emissions, and GDP (economic output) in the ASEAN-5 countries. They

employed the Panel Smooth Transition Regression approach, which considers variations and

changes over time. Nonlinearity was detected by employing two threshold settings.
Environmental degradation increased in parallel with economic growth in regime one, but this

correlation did not exist in regime two. Granger causality analysis revealed that energy use is
responsible for CO

2

emissions in both systems.

Zhou and Liu (2016) examined the impact of income, demographic variables, and carbon

dioxide emissions. The study employed the STIRPAT approach paradigm, covering the time

frame from 1990 to 2012. Income has emerged as the primary catalyst for the escalation of CO

2

emissions in China. The study's findings indicate that demographic characteristics do not have

any impact on the increase of CO

2

emissions. Except for western China, urbanization has led to

a rise in energy consumption and CO

2

emissions. To address the environmental impact in China,

it is very advisable for the government to implement measures that control the pace of
urbanization and encourage energy efficiency.

Khoshnevis and Beygi (2018) employed PMG and Granger Causality methodologies to

investigate the correlation between CO

2

emissions, trade openness, financial development,

renewable energy, and economic growth in a sample of 25 African countries. The findings

indicated a one-way relationship where renewable energy had a causal effect on CO

2

emissions,

and real production also had a causal effect on CO

2

emissions. In addition, Munir et al. (2020)

investigated the correlation between CO

2

emissions and economic and energy factors from

1980 to 2016. The researcher discovered a loop causation in Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and

the Philippines, which connects economic expansion to the emissions of carbon dioxide (CO

2

).

During the study conducted in Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand, it was observed that there is

a unidirectional relationship between economic growth and energy consumption. Similarly, in
Singapore, there are evidence of a one-way causal relationship from economic growth to energy

usage. After doing a literature study, a research gap on research efforts on air pollution in
Uzbekistan was observed. Therefore, this research was conducted to address this gap.


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Methodology.

The data utilized for this research is derived from secondary sources, specifically World

Bank publications, spanning the years 2000 to 2020. The model is trained to forecast
Uzbekistan's economic growth (GDP Per Capita) using air pollution variables including nitrogen

dioxide, ozone, and carbon dioxide. The functional regression model is represented by the
following equation:

GDP per Capita

= 𝛽

0

+ 𝛽

1

CO

2

+ 𝛽

2

NO

2

+ 𝛽

3

O

3

+ ⋯ 𝛽

n

Xn + 𝜀

t

(1)

Where

𝛽

1

to

𝛽

3

are the coefficient estimates of the air pollution variables. Table 1 shows

the variables used in this analysis.

Table 1.

Variables description and data source

Variable

Definition

Abb.

Period

Source

Economic

growth

GDP "per capita"

GDP

2000

− 2020

WDI

Carbon dioxide

CO

2

"emitted from fossil consumption in

kilotons"

CO

2

2000

− 2020

WDI

Nitrogen

Dioxide

NO

2

"emitted from fossil consumption in

kilotons"

NO

3

2000

− 2020

WDI

Ozone pollution

O

3

"emitted from fossil consumption in

kilotons"

O

3

2000

− 2020

WDI


WDI: World Bank Development Indicators

In order to handle ARMA (g,r) models with unknown orders, Augmented Dickey-Fuller

(1984) improved upon the basic autoregressive unit root test. The ADF test is the name given

to this particular test. The test is sometimes referred to as the augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF)
test. The model states that the lag time in auto-regression grows according to the sample size,

T, at a controlled pace of T

(1/3)

. The fundamental equation of the model is as follows:

𝑁

𝑡

= 𝛽

0

𝐷

𝑡

+∝ 𝑁

𝑡−1

+ 𝜋

𝑡

(2)

∝ (𝑉)𝑈

𝑡

= 𝜃(𝑉)𝜀𝑡, 𝜀𝑡 ∼ 𝑀𝑍(0, 𝜎2) (3)

The null hypothesis of the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test states that a time series y

t

is integrated of order 1 (I(1)) if the alternative hypothesis is that it is integrated of order 0

(I(0)). The null hypothesis of the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) t-test is:

𝐻

0

: 𝛽 = 0

𝐻

1

: 𝛽 < 0

This is predicated on the idea that the intricacies of the data exhibit an ARMA

configuration. The ADF test is conducted to ascertain the presence of a regression in the test.

𝑁

𝑡

= 𝛾

𝑆

𝑡

+∝ 𝑁

𝑡−1

+ ∑  

𝑝

𝑗=1

𝛿

𝑗

Δ𝑁

𝑡−𝑗

+ 𝜌

𝑡

𝑢

𝑡

(4)

The deterministic component is represented by the symbol D

t

, while the expression Δy

t-j

indicate the presence of serial correlation.


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The t-statistic for the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test and the normalized bias

statistic are as follows:

𝐴𝐷𝐹

𝑡

= 𝑙

∝=1

=

∝ˆ−1

𝑆𝐸(∝)

(5)

ADF

t

demonstrates asymptotic

𝑡

𝜙

= 1

distributions when white noise errors are

present, provided that p is appropriately chosen.

Time series in econometric analysis are considered integrated when several series are

cointegrated individually, however there exists a linear combination of these series that has a
lower level of cointegration. Furthermore, it has been shown that these cointegration

procedures have different theoretical foundations and yield contradictory results. It has also
been observed that the effectiveness of cointegration approaches is influenced by the choice of

error estimators (Pesavento, 2004). In order to strengthen the effectiveness of the
cointegration test, the Bayer-Hanck test, developed by Bayer and Hanck in 2013, combines

various tests such as Engle and Granger, Phillips and Outliers, Johansen, Boswijk, and Banerjee.
This joint test-measurement is particularly useful for detecting the absence of cointegration.

Given its ability to combine many individual cointegration test results to yield a more

definitive finding, this innovative approach is also employed in this analysis to ascertain the

presence of a cointegrating relationship between Economic growth and its determinant in
Uzbekistan. Bayer and Hanck (2013) proposed a method to integrate the calculated significance

level (p-values) of each cointegration test using Fisher's formulas:

𝐸 − 𝐽 = −2[𝐿𝑁(𝑃𝐻

𝐸

) + 𝐿𝑁(𝑃𝐻

𝐽

)]

(6)

𝐸 − 𝐽 − 𝐵 − 𝐵𝑀 == −2[𝐿𝑁(𝑃𝐻

𝐸

) + 𝐿𝑁(𝑃𝐻

𝐽

) + 𝐿𝑁(𝑃𝐻

𝐵

) + 𝐿𝑁(𝑃𝐻

𝐵𝑀

) (7)

The p-values of various independent cointegration tests, including those performed by

Engle and Granger (1987), Johansen (1988), Boswijik (1994), and Banerjee et al. (1998), are
denoted as PHE, PHJ, PHB, and PHBM, respectively. If the calculated Fisher statistics exceed the

critical values provided by Bayer and Hanck (2013), it is possible to reject the null hypothesis
that there is no cointegration.

Results.

Given that time series data were utilized in this investigation, it was crucial to assess if the

data exhibited stationarity at their original levels or if they needed to be transformed by

differencing to achieve stationarity. The validity of the results produced from the data analysis
was ensured. This study used the initial generation unit root tests, which disregard structural

breakdowns but were frequently used in the economic growth literature. Specifically, it utilizes

the Augmented Dicky-Fuller, 1987 (ADF) test. All unit root tests, without any exceptions,
assume non-stationarity as the null hypothesis. The data series was tested for stationarity using

the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) methods.

Table 2.

Augmented Dickey fuller unit root tests

Variables

Level t stats

p-value

𝟏

st

Diff. t stats

p-value

CO

2

-2.874

0.1923

−4.5482

0.000

NO

2

-0.894

0.0013

−8.2419

0.000

O

3

-0.192

0.0000

−7.0845

0.000

GDP

-2.998

0.0341

−4.6494

0.000


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Table 2 displays the outcomes of the unit root analysis conducted on the factor

components for Carbon Dioxide, Nitrogen Dioxide, Ozone Pollution, and GDP Per capita.

All of the series exhibit a unit root, indicating that they are non-stationary at their levels.

However, the series are stationary when considering their beginning differences, as
demonstrated in Table 2. The results of the ADF unit root test suggest that CO2, NO2, O3, and

GDP are all integrated at the same order, specifically I(1). The cointegration relationship among
series can be analyzed using the Bayer-Hanck (2013) cointegration approach, which accounts

for different structural breaks.

Table 3.

Bayer and Hanck combine cointegration analysis

Estimated models

EG-JH-BA-BO

Cointegration

GDP = f(CO

2

, NO

2

, O

3

)

41.124 ∗

Yes

Significance level

Critical value

1%

level

33.197

5%

level

22.738

10%

level

16.868

The results from the long-run nexus between the variables utilizing the Bayer and Hanck

test are reported in Table 3 below. Given that the unit root test indicates that all variables have

an integration order of I(1), we employed the combined cointegration test. The outcome
displays the Fisher-statistics for the combined tests of EG-JH-BO-BA, namely the tests

developed by Johansen (1995), Boswijk (1995), and Bannerjee et al. (1998). The Fisher-
statistics value for GDP exceeds 10% of the critical values. The levels of CO

2

and NO

2

surpassed

the threshold values of 5%. The Fisher-statistics value for O3 exceeds 10% of the critical values.

These statistical tests enable us to reject the null hypothesis that there is no long-term link and
confirm the presence of cointegration between GDP and the explanatory factors.

Table 4.

Granger causality wald test

Equation

Prob

>

Chi-2

GDP

cause ALL

p < 0.05

NO

2

cause ALL

p < 0.05

CO

2

cause ALL

p < 0.05

CO

2

cause ALL

p < 0.05

The following presents the results of a Granger causality test, indicating that GDP has a

substantial causal effect on CO

2

, NO

2

, and O

3

at a 5% significance level. This indicates that there

is a causal relationship between GDP and the three air contaminants examined in this study. In
addition, both CO

2

and NO

2

have a substantial impact at a 0.05 level of significance, as indicated

in Table 4.


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140


Conclusion.

This study aims to investigate the relationship between air pollution in Uzbekistan from

2000 to 2020 using the Environmental Kuznets Curve. This study used three distinct pollution

metrics to evaluate the air quality. The three gases are carbon dioxide (CO

2

), nitrogen dioxide

(NO

2

), and ozone (O

3

).

In Uzbekistan, there are standard factors used to regulate air quality.

Initially, the stationarity of variables was assessed using the Dickey-Fuller unit root test.

Subsequently, the data was analyzed using the cointegration and Granger causality method
proposed by Bayer-Hanck (2013). The results of the Bayer-Hanck cointegration method

indicate the presence of a stable and long-term equilibrium relationship between the variables.
The Granger causality analysis demonstrates that there is a causal relationship between GDP

per capita and air pollution. However, these actions alone are inadequate to mitigate
environmental pollution without compromising Uzbekistan's economic growth.

Consequently, the following supplementary measures for attaining these objectives may

be proposed. These measures encompass the modification of regulations pertaining to the

reduction of greenhouse gas emissions from industry, transportation, and heating. Additionally,
they involve the promotion of bio-diesel fuel as a substitute for fossil fuels, the enhancement of

alternative energy sources, specifically solar and wind energy projects, the elevation of public

consciousness, and the provision of tax incentives to support environmentally friendly
investments.

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Библиографические ссылки

Amin, A., Liu, Y., Yu, J., Chandio, A.A., Rasool, S.F., Luo, J., Zaman, S. (2020), How does energy poverty affect economic development? A panel data analysis of South Asian countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27, 31623-31635.

Banerjee, A., Dolado, J., Mestre, R. (1998), Error-correction mechanism tests for cointegration in a single-equation framework. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 19(3), 267-283.

Bayer, C., Hanck, C. (2013), Combining non-cointegration tests. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 34(1), 83-95.

Bekun, F.V., Alola, A.A., Sarkodie, S.A. (2019), Toward a sustainable environment: Nexus between CO2 emissions, resource rent, renewable and nonrenewable energy in 16-EU countries. Science of the Total Environment, 657, 1023-1029.

Boswijk, H. P. (1994), Testing for an umstable root in conditional and structural error correction models. Journal of Econometrics, 63(1), 37−60.

Collivignarelli, M.C., Abbà, A., Bertanza, G., Pedrazzani, R., Ricciardi, P., Miino, M.C. (2020), Lockdown for CoViD-2019 in Milan: What are the effects on air quality? Science of the Total Environment, 732,139280 .

Cosmas, N.C., Chitedze, I., Mourad, K.A. (2019), An econometric analysis of the macroeconomic determinants of carbon dioxide emissions in Nigeria. Science of the Total Environment, 675, 313-324.

Dickey, D.A., Fuller, W.A. (1981), Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1057-1072.

Dogan, E., Inglesi-Lotz, R. (2020), The impact of economic structure to the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis: Evidence from European countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(11), 12717-12724.

Engle, R.F., Granger, C.W.J. (1987), Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251-276.

Gehrsitz, M. (2017), The effect of low emission zones on air pollution and infant health. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 83, 121-144.

Gökmenoglu, K., Taspinar, N. (2016), The relationship between CO2, emissions, energy consumption, economic growth and FDI: The case of Turkey. The Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 25(5), 706-723.

Grossman, G.M., Krueger, A.B. (1991), Environmental Impacts of a North American Free Trade Agreement. NBER Working Paper, No. 3914.

Grossman, G.M., Krueger, A.B. (1995), Economic growth and the environment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(2), 353-377.

Hanif, I. (2018), Impact of economic growth, nonrenewable and renewable energy consumption, and urbanization on carbon emissions in Sub-Saharan Africa. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25(15), 15057-15067.

Heidari, H., Katircioglu, S.T., Saeidpour, L. (2015), Economic growth, CO2 emissions, and energy consumption in the five ASEAN countries. International Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems, 64, 785-791.

Jalil, A., Feridum, M. (2011), Long run relationship between income inequality and Financial Development in China: Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 16(2), 202-214.

Jebli, MB., Youssef, S.B., Ozturk, I. (2016), Testing environmental Kumets Curve hypothesis: The role of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption and trade in OECD countries. Ecological Indicators, 60,824−831.

Johansen, S. (1988), Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3), 231-254.

Khoshnevis, Y.S., Beygi, E.G. (2018), The dynamic impact of renewable energy consumption and financial development on CO2 emissions: For selectedAfrican countries. Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy, 13(1), 13-20.

Koc, S., Bulus, G.C. (2020), Testing validity of the EKC hypothesis in South Korea: Role of renewable energy and trade openness. Environmental Science and Pollution Research. 27(23), 2904329054.

Kuznets, S. (1955), Economic growth and income inequality. The American Economic Review; 45(1), 1-28.

Leal, P.H., Marques, A.C. (2020), Rediscovering the EKC hypothesis for the 20 highest CO2 emitters among OECD countries by level of globalization. International Economics, 164, 36-47.

Munir, Q., Lean, H.H., Smyth, R. (2020), CO2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in the ASEAN-5 countries: A cross-sectional dependence approach. Energy Economics, 85, 104571.

Ozokcu, S., Ozdemir, O. (2017), Economic growth, energy, and environmental Kuznets Curve. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 72, 639-647.

Pata, U.K. (2018), Renewable energy consumption, urbanization, financial development, income and CO2 emissions in Turkey: Testing EKC hypothesis with structural breaks. Journal of Cleaner Production, 187,770−779.

Pesavento, E. (2004), Analytical evaluation of the power of tests for the absence of cointegration. Journal of Econometrics, 122(2), 349-384.

Qiul, G., Song, R, He, S. (2019), The aggravation of urban air quality deterioration due to urbanization, transportation and economic development-panel models with marginal effect analyses across China. Science of the Total Environment, 651, 1114-1125.

Rana, R., Sharma, M. (2019), Dynamic causality testing for EKC hypothesis, pollution haven hypothesis and international trade in India. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 28(3), 348-364.

Rupalheti, M. (2015), Air Pollution Impacts on Agriculture. Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies (IASS). Potsdam, Germany: Media Regional Training, ICIMOD, Kathmandu.

Saboori, B, Sulaiman, J. (2013), Environmental degradation, economic growth and energy consumption: Evidence of the environmental Kuznets Curve in Malaysia. Energy Policy, 60, 892-905.

Sarkodie, S.A. (2018), The invisible hand and EKC hypothesis: What are the drivers of environmental degradation and pollution in Africa? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25(22), 21993-22022.

Wasti, S.K.A., Zaidi, S.W. (2020), An empirical investigation between CO2 emission, energy consumption, trade liberalization and economic growth: A case of Kuwait. Journal of Building Engineering, 28,101104 .

World Bank. (2009), Hashemite Kingdom of Uzbekistan: Country Environmental Analysis. Sustainable Development Sector Department (MNSSD), Middle East and North Africa Region.